Real Estate Indicators Summary

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1 real estate 110

2 Real Estate Indicators Summary Housing Starts Date Value Change/Rate (%) Year-to-Date Year-Over-Year C hange; YTD September 2018 Geography 8, % Calgary CMA Total Monthly Value of Building Permits Thousands; Year-Over-Year % C hange August 2018 $462, % Calgary CMA Major Calgary Projects Billions; Month-Over-Month C hange September 2018 $ % City of Calgary Benchmark Detached Calgary House Price Year-Over-Year C hange September 2018 $493, % City of Calgary Downtown Office Vacancy Rate Q % City of Calgary Suburban Office Vacancy Rate Q % City of Calgary Industrial Real Estate Vacancy Rate Q % City of Calgary * Seasonally adjusted, 3 month moving average Sources: City of Calgary Corporate Economics, Statistics Canada, Conference Board of Canada, CMHC, CB Richard Ellis, Calgary Real Estate Board, Alberta Enterprise and Advanced Education, Alberta Major Projects 111

3 Major Canadian City Comparison Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Saskatoon Toronto Ottawa Montreal Canada Housing Starts YTD August ,813 7,314 8, ,508 5,776 14, ,458 Total Value of Building Permits (Billions) YTD August 2018 $7.60 $3.44 $3.77 $0.55 $12.03 $2.58 $7.31 $65.46 Downtown Office Vacancy Rate Q % 16.5% 27.3% N/A 3.1% 7.5% 9.5% 10.6% MLS Single Detached Benchmark Housing Price August 2018 $1,564,100 $382,400 $477,500 $312,200 $863,900 $429,400 $364,400 $678,600 MLS Composite Benchmark Housing Price Growth 5.2% -2.1% -2.2% -7.2% 1.2% 7.1% 5.9% 3.8% August 2017 August 2018 Source: Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, Canadian Real Estate Association, CBRE Limited, Statistics Canada 112

4 Total Value of Building Permits ($ Billions) Total Value of Building Permits Across Canada $ % 50% 40% $20 $ % 24.0% 25.3% 30% 20% $15 $10 $9.47 $ % $12.0 $9.60 $ % 0% -10% Five-Year Growth Rate $5 $5.16 $ % $3.44 $ % $3.40 $ % -30% $0 $0.95 $0.55 Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Saskatoon Toronto Ottawa Montreal -40% 2017 Total Value 2018 Year-to-Date Total Value Five-Year Growth Rate ( ) Source: Table , Seasonally Adjusted, Statistics Canada, August

5 Total Value of Permits ($ Billions) City of Calgary Annual Building Permit Values $7 $6 Note: Number of permits does not include demolition permits. $6.05 (17,944 permits) 35.3% $6.50 (18,350 permits) $6.30 (15,630 permits) 44% 32% $5 $4 $3 $2 $1 $4.47 (16,592 permits) $ % $2.59 $2.61 $3.43 $ % $4.02 $ % $3.67 $4.66 (14,683 permits) $1.85 $2.81 $4.58 (8,119 permits) $ % $2.34 $3.45 (12,350 permits) $ % $ % 8% -4% -16% Growth Rate Over Previous Year -26.0% $ % Residential Non-Residential Growth Rate Over Previous Year (YTD) Source: City of Calgary, September

6 28% Commercial Real Estate Vacancy Rates 27.3% Across Canada High quality space available to lease 24% 22.9% 20% 18.7% 18.1% 16.5% 16% 13.8% 14.7% 12% 10.8% 10.4% 9.9% 9.5% 10.6% 8% 7.0% 7.6% 7.0% 7.5% 4% 4.4% 2.3% 3.0% 3.1% 1.6% 3.4% 4.6% 3.3% 0% Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Winnipeg Toronto Ottawa Montreal Canada Downtown Office Vacancy Rate Suburban Office Vacancy Rate Industrial Availability Rate Source: CBRE Limited, Q

7 Overall Power SC Enclosed SC Community SC Street Front Neighbourhood SC Big Box Retailer Calgary Retail Vacancy 45,000,000 40,000,000 41,065, % 8.0% 9.0% 8.0% 35,000, % 30,000, % 25,000,000 20,000, % 4.1% 3.5% 4.9% 5.0% 4.0% 15,000, % 10,000,000 5,000,000 10,452, % 8,025,025 8,148,182 6,244,363 4,874,791 3,320, % 1.0% 0 0.0% Total Area (SF) Vacancy Rate (%) Source: Barclay Street, Q3 2018, *Shopping Centre (SC) 116

8 Average Rental Rate (per square foot per year) Commercial Real Estate Net Rental Rates $40.00 $35.00 $34.99 Across Canada $32.91 Lowest downtown office Class A net rental rates compared to other markets $30.00 $25.00 $20.00 $15.00 $10.00 $5.00 $23.64 $21.11 N/A $11.74 $10.01 $16.28 $19.02 $7.34 $23.83 $22.10 $21.36 $17.64 $17.55 $16.25 $15.06 $9.40 $6.68 $7.48 $5.64 $0.00 Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Toronto Ottawa Montreal Canada Downtown Office Average Class A Net Rent Suburban Office Average Class A Net Rent Industrial Average Net Rent Source: CBRE Limited, Q

9 Square Feet Office Space Absorption Across Canada 1,000, , , , , , ,000 59, , , ,614 58,099 85, , , ,941 53, ,272-39, , , ,388 Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Winnipeg Toronto Ottawa Montreal Canada Downtown Office Absorption Suburban Office Absorption Source: CBRE Limited, Q

10 Square Feet 16,000,000 Industrial Space Absorption Across Canada 14,000,000 13,718,685 12,000,000 10,000,000 8,000,000 6,000,000 6,170,514 4,000,000 2,000,000 1,459,405 1,860,208 2,393, , , ,366 Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Winnipeg Toronto Ottawa Montreal Canada Source: CBRE Limited, Q

11 Square Feet Under Construction Downtown Office Space Under 12,000,000 Construction Across Canada 9% 10,000,000 8,000,000 6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000, % 1,916, % 650, % 430, % 6,046, % 1,104,701 10,340, % 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Percentage of Inventory Construction Represents 0 Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Toronto Montreal Canada 0% Downtown Office Under Construction Percentage of Downtown Inventory Construction Represents Source: CBRE Limited, Q

12 Square Feet Under Construction Suburban Office Space Under Construction Across Canada 4,000,000 5% 3,500,000 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000, , % 822, % 0.8% 0.2% 81,758 39,495 58, % 744, % 1,026,440 3,633, % 4% 3% 2% 1% Percentage of Inventory Construction Represents 0 Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Winnipeg Toronto Montreal Canada 0% Suburban Office Under Construction Percentage of Suburban Inventory Construction Represents Source: CBRE Limited, Q

13 Square Feet Under Construction Industrial Space Under Construction Across Canada 25,000, % 20,000,000 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000, % 4,758, % 1,549, % 3,914, % 0.7% 5,646, % 1,522,000 19,512, % 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% Percentage of Inventory Construction Represents 0 88,200 Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Winnipeg Toronto Montreal Canada 0.0% Industrial Under Construction Percentage of Industrial Inventory Construction Represents Source: CBRE Limited, Q

14 $12.00 $10.00 Estimated Residential Property Taxes per $1,000 of Assessment FIGURES IN THIS CHART ARE CALCULATED BY MULTIPLYING THE RESIDENTIAL TAX RATE BY 1000 TO GIVE THE TAXES PAID PER $1,000 OF ASSESSMENT. WHERE MILL RATES ARE APPLICABLE, THE MILL RATE IS MULTIPLIED BY THE MILL RATE FACTOR BEFORE CALCULATING THE RATIO. $10.68 $9.88 Lower residential property taxes than other markets in Canada $8.51 $8.48 $8.00 $6.50 $6.62 $6.00 $4.00 $2.55 $2.00 $0.00 Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Saskatoon Toronto Ottawa Montreal Source: Altus REALpac,

15 Year-to-Date Housing Starts Across Canada and their Five-Year Averages 25,000 22,103 20,000 18,237 15,000 13,714 11,816 12,863 10,000 9,097 5, ,349 5,401 5,067 5,369 3,429 3,885 4,405 3,466 3,804 3,099 2,716 3,653 1,972 3,062 3, , ,432 1, Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Saskatoon Toronto Ottawa Montreal Detached Housing Starts YTD Multi-Family Housing Starts YTD Detached 5-Year Average ( ) Multi-Family 5-Year Average ( ) Source: Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, August

16 $225,100 $201,200 $382,400 $297,100 $257,100 $312,200 $225,200 $174,100 $330,000 $293,900 $256,600 $283,200 $477,500 $429,400 $364,400 $283,100 $426,800 $410,500 $563,000 $505,500 $391,100 $345,600 Benchmark Resale Price $501,900 $472,500 $695,500 $678,600 $625,400 $846,100 $863,900 $764,800 $1,083,400 $1,564,100 Current Benchmark Resale Housing Prices $1,800,000 Across Canada Affordable housing prices $1,600,000 $1,400,000 $1,200,000 $1,000,000 $800,000 $600,000 $400,000 $200,000 $0 Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Saskatoon Toronto Ottawa Montreal Canada Single Detached Townhouse Apartment All Housing Types Source: Canadian Real Estate Association, August

17 Growth Rate Year-Over-Year Growth in Benchmark Resale 20% Housing Prices Across Canada Balanced housing market 14.4% 15% 10% 5% 8.7% 11.0% 9.7% 5.2% 7.8% 5.2% 5.7% 7.1% 5.9% 5.9% 5.8% 8.5% 5.2% 0.4% 1.2% 1.0% 3.8% 0% -5% -3.2% -2.2% -1.3% -2.4% -2.3% -2.1% -3.1% -3.0% -1.9% -5.8% -7.2% -1.6% -10% -15% -12.3% -14.1% Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Saskatoon Toronto Ottawa Montreal Canada Single Detached Townhouse Apartment All Housing Types Source: Canadian Real Estate Association, August

18 Average Price / Qualifying Income $260,400 $290,500 $302,800 $436,200 $562,500 $516,300 $474,700 $407,200 $331,300 $454,800 $662,600 $620,700 $1,044,600 $1,582,200 Housing Affordability Across Canada $1,800,000 $1,600,000 $1,400,000 Average Price - Single-Family Detached Average Price - Standard Condominium Single-Family Detached Affordability Measure Standard Condominium Affordability Measure 140% 120% 100% $1,200,000 $1,000,000 $800,000 $600,000 80% 60% Affordability Measure 40% $400,000 $200,000 20% $0 Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Toronto Ottawa Montreal Canada 0% Source: RBC Economics, Q

19 Average Rental Rate Average Two-Bedroom Apartment Rent & $2,000 Vacancy Rates Across Canada 12.0% Calgary is 19.3% more affordable than Vancouver and 11.2% more affordable than Toronto. 9.6% 10.0% $1,600 $1,552 Affordable and higher vacancy rates than other CMAs $1,404 $1,200 $800 $1, % $1, % $1,082 $1,232 $782 $1, % 6.0% Vacancy Rate 4.0% 2.8% 2.7% $ % 2.0% 0.9% 1.0% $0 Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Saskatoon Toronto Ottawa Montreal Canada CMAs 0.0% Average Two-Bedroom Apartment Rental Rate Overall Apartment Vacancy Rate Source: Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, Fall 2017 (Updated Annually) 128

20 Average Rental Rate $3,000 Average Two-Bedroom Condo Rent & Vacancy Rates Across Canada Calgary is 19.7% more affordable than Vancouver and 34.3% more affordable than Toronto. 8.0% $2, % $2,301 $2, % 9.0% More affordable and higher vacancy rates than most other CMAs $2,000 $1, % $1,500 $1,000 $1,346 $1, % $1, % $1,180 $1, % 4.0% 3.0% Vacancy Rate 1.8% 1.6% 2.0% $ % 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% $0 Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Saskatoon Toronto Ottawa Montreal Canada CMAs 0.0% Average Two-Bedroom Condominium Rental Rate Overall Condominium Vacancy Rate Source: Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, Fall 2017 (Updated Annually) 129

21 Calgary LEED Buildings Canada ranked 2 nd globally in LEED-certified projects. Since 2003 all new City of Calgary buildings meet or exceed the LEED silver level rating LEED LEED LEED LEED Buildings Platinum Gold Silver Source: The City of Calgary, 2018; Canada Green Building Council (CaGBC), 2018; U.S. Green Building Council (USGBC),

22 Calgary Major Projects September 2018 Developer Project Description Project Cost $ Millions Timing Status City of Calgary Green Line LRT $4, Proposed WAM Development Group / AIMCo StoneGate Landing $3, Under Construction Calgary Sport and Entertainment Corp. CalgaryNEXT Multisport Fieldhouse Stadium $1,800.0 Commencing 2021 Proposed City of Calgary Crowchild Trail Project $1,550.0 Commencing 2017 Under Construction Government of Alberta / Alberta Cancer Foundation Calgary Cancer Centre $1, Under Construction Maple Projects Inc. Highland Park Redevelopment $1,000.0 Proposed Oxford Properties Oxford Airport Business Park $ Under Construction Shepard Development Corp. Shepard Suburban Office Campus $ Under Construction ATCO Pipelines Calgary Urban Pipeline Replacement Project $ Under Construction Telus / Westbank / Allied Properties Telus Sky Mixed-Use Tower $ Under Construction Source: Alberta Major Projects, Government of Alberta 131

23 Alberta Major Projects September 2018 Sector Number of Projects Total Value of Projects $ Millions Agriculture and Related 13 $907.8 Biofuels 3 $1,970.8 Chemical 2 $7,500.0 Commercial 48 $2,655.6 Forestry and Related 0 $0.0 Industrial 14 $2,281.8 Infrastructure 175 $21,510.3 Institutional 135 $9,572.7 Metals 4 $875.0 Mixed-Use 28 $13,613.1 Oil and Gas 11 $9,998.5 Oil Sands 21 $54,713.0 Pipelines 13 $32,745.0 Power 19 $11,535.5 Residential 79 $5,355.1 Retail 15 $374.4 Telecommunications 7 $1,264.4 Tourism / Recreation 93 $5,495.1 Total 680 $182,368.1 Source: Alberta Major Projects, Government of Alberta 132

24 Why Calgary Built-in Incentives, Favourable High Enviable Competitive Real Estate Quality Lifestyle Tax Rates Market Talent 133

25 Keep in Touch (403) (888) calgaryeconomicdevelopment.com st St. SE Calgary, AB T2G 2G9 Facebook.com/calgaryeconomic Twitter.com/calgaryeconomic Youtube.com/calgaryeconomic LinkedIn.com/calgaryeconomic 134

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