MARKET OUTLOOK PERTH WESTERN AUSTRALIA

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1 MARKET OUTLOOK PERTH WESTERN AUSTRALIA 1 Perth Overview 2 Education & Demographics 3 Investment & Employment 4 Perth Infrastructure 5 Residential Property Market Prepared exclusively for Pindan August 217

2 PERTH OVERVIEW ECONOMIC GROWTH Over the last decade, Western Australia was the strongest performing economy in the nation. AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH 1 YEAR TO 215/16: 1.5% 2.2% 2.2% 2.8% 5% IMPORTANT TIMEZONE Perth shares a time zone with approximately 6% of the world s population. The recent introduction of Perth-London direct flights reinforces the Perth s role as Australia s Western Gateway and provides a vital entry point for European travellers. IMF Advanced Economies NSW VIC Australia WA WA s GSP per capita was $92,56 in June % HIGHER THAN THE NATIONAL EQUIVALENT OF $69,134 IN THE SAME PERIOD New Delhi Source: ABS, IMF (Constant Prices), OECD. KEY TRADING PARTNERS China is predicted to be the world s largest economy come 226 (The Economist). Further sources of export demand include growth centres of Asia. Kuala Lumpur Singap Proportion of WA exports (as of May 217) Forecast GDP growth to 222 China 62% 5.9% Jakarta Japan 15%.6% South Korea 7% 3.% Asean 5 9% 5.3% Source: ABS, IMF: World Economic Outlook (WEO) Note: Association for Southeast Nations (ASEAN 5) includes Indonesia, Malaysia, the Phillipines, Singapore and Thailand. 3.5 hrs SINCE MAY 216, EXPORTS TO CHINA HAS INCREASED BY 28%. ONE OF THE WORLD S TOP TEN MOST LIVEABLE CITIES. Source: Department of State Development 1 hour timezone 5 hour business timezone 2 Market Outlook Perth, Western Australia

3 Australia s western gateway and most accessible capital city to the world s strongest economic growth regions. LIVEABILITY The Economist Intelligence Unit scores cities on over 3 factors within five broad categories: stability, healthcare, culture, education and infrastructure. Perth has ranked in the top ten most liveable cities for over ten years. In 216, Perth was ranked 7 th, up from 8 th in 215. PERTH S LIVEABILITY SCORES City Rank Overall (1=ideal, =intolerable) Beijing Hong Kong Shanghai Tokyo 1 hrs Education Healthcare Infrastructure Stability Culture Overall ore 9 hrs 8 hrs Source: Economist Intelligence Unit EMERGING ARTS CAPITAL The 217 Perth International Arts Festival ran for three weeks and was hosted at the newly developed Elizabeth Quay. 5 hrs Perth hosts Australia s oldest International Arts Festival (64 years). The Western Australian Academy of Performing Arts (WAAPA) at Edith Cowen (ECU) has been ranked as one of the best 25 acting schools in the world Perth With 3,4 artists and 7 acts, the 217 Perth Fringe World Festival was the third largest worldwide. Over 75, people viewed events at one of 15 venues and had total flow on economic impact $84.3 million. Prepared by Urbis; Source: WAAPA, ECU s 216 Annual Report, PIA, Fringe World PERTH S 13% POPULATION GROWTH IN THE FIVE YEARS TO JUNE 216 EXCEEDS SYDNEY, MELBOURNE AND BRISBANE Prepared exclusively for Pindan 3

4 EDUCATION & DEMOGRAPHICS PRIMARY & SECONDARY EDUCATION Perth s primary and secondary schools, both public and private, provide a high-quality education to students. Many private schools offer on-campus boarding facilities for secondary school (or older) students. In its latest budget, the state government proposed $4.84b to education. In 216 student enrolment growth increased by 1.3% from the previous year and a forecast of 9.% (or 26,551 students) growth between Prepared by Urbis; Source: Western Australian School Curriculum and Standards Authority. * Based on number of year 12 subject enrolments where a WACE course score of at least 75+ achieved (excludes vocational subjects),216. On-Site Boarding Facilities TERTIARY EDUCATION The of Western Australia (UWA) ranks among the top 1% of universities in the world. It is the only WA member of Australia s Group of Eight : the country s leading research institutions. An excellent location for education. According to QS Best Student Cities 216 list, Perth ranks 35 in the world. The Western Australian Academy of Performing Arts (WAAPA) and Edith Cowen (ECU) has been ranked as one of the best 25 acting schools in the world (The Hollywood Reporter 212). There are also 11 Technical and Further Education (TAFE) Colleges in Western Australia. DEMOGRAPHICS Perth was the fastest growing capital city over the five years to June 216. The WA Government is planning for Greater Perth to grow from approximately 2 million people to 3.5 million by 25. Perth s population is projected to outnumber that of Brisbane from 228, making Perth Australia s third most populous city according to ABS Population Projections. As at June 216, Western Australia accounts for 11% of Australia s total population and 79% of WA s population resided in Greater Perth. As at 216, 43% of Greater Perth s population was born overseas. The city s social fabric reflected over 2 nationalities speaking 27 languages. According to SAFi forecasts by i.d, Greater Perth s population is expected to increase by 47,6 people p.a. between 216 and 221. This reflects annual growth of 2.2%. State ranking 1 * Perth Modern School 2 * Presbyterian Ladies' College 3 * Penrhos College 4 * Christ Church Grammer School 5 * Santa Maria College 6 * St Hildas Anglican School for Girls 7 * Perth College 8 * St Mary's Anglican Girls' School 9 * Methodist Ladies' College 1 * Shenton College PERTH'S UNIVERSITIES The of WA Curtin Prepared by Urbis; Source: Department of Education and Training Prepared by Urbis; Source: ABS Prepared by Urbis; Source: SAFi.id Murdoch Edith Cowan Of Notre Dame WESTERN AUSTRALIA'S OVERSEAS STUDENT NUMBERS Internatonal Students ESTIMATED RESIDENT POPULATION GROWTH FIVE YEARS TO JUNE 216 9% 9% 11% Brisbane Sydney Melbourne STRONG FORECAST POPULATION GROWTH FOR GREATER PERTH Thousands 4, 3, 2, 1, 3,5 3, 2,5 2, 1,5 1, 5 1, ,577 1,834 2,18 2,346 2,577 13% Perth 2,81 3, F 221F 226F 231F 236F 4 Market Outlook Perth, Western Australia

5 INVESTMENT & EMPLOYMENT MINING, OIL AND GAS According to the Office of the Chief Economist (December 216), committed mining, oil and gas and infrastructure projects in WA have a combined project value of $136.7 billion. This represents 7% of the total value of all projects across Australia ($194.8 billion). Perth is one of the 2 international energy capitals. It is home to 35% of companies listed on the Australian Securities Exchange, which collectively account for the largest proportion of Australian mining companies in Africa, South America and Central Asia. VALUE OF COMMITTED PROJECTS BY JURISDICTION Queensland 5.9% New South Wales.7% Victoria 1.% South Australia.3% Northern Territory 21.9% Western Australia 7.1% Prepared by Urbis; Source: Office of Chief Economist December 216 EMPLOYMENT AND TOURISM WA s workforce has grown by 4.3% over the last five years to 1.37 million people (ABS May 217). The highest number of employees worked in health care and social assistance, followed by construction. The mining sector is a major part of the WA economy, however ranks seventh in terms of number of people employed. As one of the largest and most diverse states in the world, WA offers a wide range of unique holiday experiences. Perth acts as the gateway for WA tourism and the importance of the tourism sector is forecast to continue to grow. Some key facts about tourism are: Health Care Construction 166,8 147,4 12.2% of workforce 1.8% 19, PEOPLE EMPLOYED in tourism related industries 9% INCREASE OF VISITORS TO WA year ending March 217 Retail Trade 126,8 Education & Training Professional, Scientific & Technical trade 15, Accommodation & Food Services 12,1 Mining 94, 6.9% 9.3% 7.7% 7.4% 1,9 7.4% $1.1B SPENT by tourists in Western Australia $2.3B SPENT Prepared by Urbis; Source: Tourism Western Australia by international visitors in the year ending March 17 Although not a large direct employer, agriculture plays an important and growing part of the WA economy. In , the state s Gross Value of Agricultural Production (GVAP) was $8.2 billion, 15% of Australia s total GVAP. WA prides itself on the outstanding quality of its produce. Prepared by Urbis; Source: ABS 3% wheat ($2.5B) 11% livestock ($933M) 1% barley ($825M) 9% canola ($73M) 8% wool ($661M) Prepared exclusively for Pindan 5

6 PERTH INFRASTRUCTURE 1 Perth City Link Linking the Perth CBD and Northbridge, City Link is one Australia s transit orientated developments which will comprise over 1,9 apartments and 244, sq.m of office and retail space for 13,5 new workers. The government is investing $1.39 billion in the precinct which includes the value of the Perth Arena. 2 Perth Arena 8 Perth Arena has a capacity of 15,5 visitors and was ranked seventh in the world in 214 for revenue among venues in its size category (Pollstar). Perth Arena also hosts sporting events like the annual Hopman Cup tennis tournament and National Basketball League (NBL) matches. It opened in 212 and had a project value of $548 million. 3 Elizabeth Quay 3 The public realm of Elizabeth Quay opened in January 216 to serve as an events and recreation space. It links the Swan River and Perth CBD. The government s $44 million project will deliver 8 apartments, 4 hotel rooms and 225, sq.m of commercial space (accommodating 1,) workers. 4 Perth Stadium 7 The Perth Stadium is located on the Swan River and will provide 6, seats for major sporting and entertainment venues which will make it the third largest stadium in Australia. It is capable of attracting national and international events to Perth. The $1.2 billion project is expected to open in Market Outlook Perth, Western Australia

7 5 New WA Museum Located in the Perth Cultural Centre, the $428 million finished product (delivery in 22) will allow curators to present innovative displays. The project comprises around 23, sqm of refurbished heritage and new buildings. 6 Forrestfield-Airport Link This $2 billion train line will link Forrestfield, Perth Airport and the Perth CBD (8.5km in length) and create three new stations at Belmont, Airport Central and Forrestfield. The project was launched in 214 and in 216 construction commenced, with completion scheduled for Riverside 6 Covering 4 hectares of land in East Perth, the Metropolitan Redevelopment Authority s vision for Riverside is a cosmopolitan waterfront community and tourist destination. Upon completion, Riverside will be home to 7, new residents and 6, new workers. The Waterbank development lies at the heart of the precinct. 8 Perth Childrens Hospital The hospital site is located in Nedlands and will replace Princess Margaret Hospital as the State s dedicated children s hospital. The project is $1.2 billion and is expecting completion in 218. It will aim to provide specialty medical treatment, inpatient and outpatient care and day stay care services. 9 Crown Casino Perth 4 9 Crown Perth, Western Australia s only casino complex, has been extended. The precinct includes new cafés and restaurants as well as a six-star Crown Towers hotel which comprises 5 rooms. It has made a significant contribution to the state governments vision in the Burswood Peninsula. 1 Other New Hotels Perth s hotel market is likely to grow in the near future as new hotels enter the market. New hotel development includes the 24 room Ritz Carlton at Elizabeth Quay and the 362 room Westin Hotel. Prepared exclusively for Pindan 7

8 RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY MARKET House and unit price growth and sales activity was strongest leading up to the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). House prices increased from $16, in 2 to $462,5 in 27 (27% p.a) and apartment prices increased from $18, in 2 to $385, in 27 (37% p.a). While Perth apartment sales have moderated since the 213 post resources boom period, the median unit price has held up relatively well at $45, over 216. Perth is emerging from a cyclical trough and the underlying fundamentals of a resilient economy, pipeline of infrastructure investment and the next wave of resource sector investment is expected to bolster the residential market over the medium to longer term. Numerous factors will drive a strong increase in demand for apartments in Perth. Key drivers are summarised as follows: Affordability: Perth has seen rapid growth in house prices over the last decade. Apartments offer a relatively affordable market entry point alternative to houses. First home buyers can enter a suburb which may otherwise be beyond their budget and downsizers can remain close to their existing residence and trade down. Shifting Demographics: Perth s population has been growing at the fastest rate of any Australian capital city. An aging population, lower fertility rates, declining household sizes and prevalence of young overseas migrants are leading to an increase in demand for smaller dwellings. Low Land Availability: Few opportunities for new, single lot land subdivision, particularly in inner city areas are increasing market acceptance of higher density residential product. Apartment living offers proximity to a wide range of amenities. Government Policy: The Metropolitan Redevelopment Authority, City of Perth and WA Planning Commission all have central policy objectives striving for a greater variety in housing options and higher density development. RESIDENTIAL SALES CYCLE METROPOLITAN PERTH (2-216) Number of Sales Prepared by Urbis; Source: APM PriceFinder MEDIAN PRICE GROWTH HOUSES ACROSS METROPOLITAN PERTH (March 217) -.9% 1.8% 1.9% Change in median price (3 years) Apartment Sales Prepared by Urbis; Source: APM PriceFinder 1.7% ANNUAL CHANGE IN MEDIAN UNIT PRICE (1 years to March 217) Apartment Median Price Change in median price (5 years) House Median Price Annual change in median price (1 years) Median Price Prepared by Urbis; Source: APM PriceFinder Prepared exclusively for Pindan This study has been prepared for the sole use of Pindan and is not to be relied upon by any third party for the purposes of financial investment without specific approval. As the publication involves projections and assumptions it can be affected by a number of unforeseen variables. The forecasts and assumptions are a prediction and whilst Urbis has made every effect to ensure that the forecasts and assumptions are based on reasonable information, they may be affected by incorrect assumptions or by know or unknown risks and uncertainties. This publication is subject to copyright. Except as permitted under the Copyright Act 1968, no part of it may, in any form or by any means (electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise) be reproduced, stored in a retrievals system or transmitted without prior written permission. Enquires should be addressed to the publishers. PER428/P

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