AFTA Travel Trends. November 2018
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1 AFTA Travel Trends November AFTA Travel Trends Report
2 Inbound and Outbound overview Introduction This snapshot provides an overview of the balance of trade between Inbound and Outbound Travel for Year end of September. It uses information provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Overseas Arrivals and Departures (OAD) data set.
3 Total Visitor and Australian departure and arrivals Year End September The ABS collects data on all travellers entering and leaving Australia through the Inbound Passenger Card. This section displays the number of international tourists entering and Australians departing Australia as of September Year end 2017 and. For travel and tourism to be sustainable it is imperative that the trade between each country is balanced and this snapshot tracks overall benefits to each country. The countries chosen are the major Australian source markets and desired destinations. September YE 2017 Total number of international visitors to Australia Inbound September YE 2017 Total number of international trips by Australians Outbound September YE of international visitors to Australia Inbound September YE Total number of international trips by Australians Outbound China 1,350, ,500 1,435, ,300 New Zealand 1,347,900 1,429,000 1,383,200 1,421,500 USA 771,500 1,090, ,800 1,078,900 UK 720, , , ,300 Singapore 437, , , ,500 Japan 432, , , ,100 Malaysia 406, , , ,100 South Korea 291,900 75, ,300 72,700 India 291, , , ,800 Hong Kong 274, , , ,000 Indonesia 291,900 1,213, ,700 1,214,100 Thailand 97, ,500 98, ,200 Fiji 40, ,100 45, ,100 National Total 8,721,500 10,450,900 9,172,800 10,869,100 Source: September Short-term Movement, Residents Returning and Visitors Arriving - Selected Countries of Residence: Seasonally adjusted
4 Inbound Report Introduction These snapshots provide an overview of the performance of the Australian inbound tourism sector. It uses information provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Overseas Arrivals and Departures (OAD) data set. Performance indicators are provided for each market and month. A neutral rating is provided for markets which have a year on year variation of (+/-) 2%.
5 Where are our participants? Total inbound tourists to Australia September This section displays the number of international tourists travelling to Australia each month. Key Highlights Month Change on previous year Change on previous year Performance October 709, % 757, % Positive November 701, % 754, % Positive December 712, % 744, % Positive January 710, % 762, % Positive February 723, % 751, % Positive March 706, % 772, % Positive April 753, % 755, % Neutral May 734, % 766, % Positive June 725, % 770, % Positive July 747, % 772, % Positive August 752, % 791, % Positive September 745, % 773, % Positive Total 8,721, % 9,172, % Positive During September, visitor arrivals (773,700) decreased 2.3% when compared with August (791,600). This followed monthly increases of 0/2% for July and 2.5% for August. For the 12 month period ending September, an overall 5.2% positive growth was achieved. 850, , , , , ,000 of tourists 2017 of tourists 5 year average Source: September Short-term Movement, Visitor Arrivals - Selected Countries of Residence: Seasonally adjusted
6 Where are our participants? Year end changes to top Australian source markets September This section displays the performance of the major Australian source markets for international travellers for 12 month period ending September 2017 and. Destination Year end change Year end change Performance China 1,350, % 1,435, % Positive New Zealand 1,347, % 1,383, % Positive USA 771, % 781, % Neutral UK 720, % 736, % Positive Singapore 437, % 439, % Neutral Japan 432, % 455, % Positive Malaysia 406, % 402, % Neutral South Korea 294, % 305, % Positive India 291, % 346, % Positive Hong Kong 274, % 304, % Positive National Total 8,721, % 9,172, % Positive Key Highlights Malaysia moves back to a neutral position after recording a negative result for the 12 months ending August, whilst UK slips from positive to neutral. India remains the highest growth market. 1,650,000 1,500,000 1,350,000 1,200,000 1,050, , , , , , ,000 0 China New Zealand USA UK Singapore Japan Malaysia South Korea India Hong Kong YE 18 Country YE 17 Country 5 year average Source: September Short-term Movement, Visitor Arrivals - Selected Countries of Residence: Seasonally adjusted
7 Where are our participants? Monthly changes to top Australian source markets September This section displays the performance of the major Australian source markets for international tourists comparing the Month of September 2017 to September. Destination 2017 Change on previous year Change on previous year Performance China 119, % 119, % Neutral New Zealand 111, % 116, % Positive USA 65, % 62, % Negative UK 57, % 59, % Positive Singapore 36, % 36, % Neutral Japan 34, % 40, % Positive Malaysia 29, % 36, % Positive South Korea 30, % 24, % Negative India 27, % 30, % Positive Hong Kong 24, % 25, % Positive National Total 745, % 773, % Positive Key Highlights South Korea recorded largest decrease when comparing September 2017 to September dropping 19.1%. Malaysia experienced highest positive growth of 25.9% with an increase of 7,600 visitors in September. All markets are still outperforming the 5 year average. 140, , ,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 China New Zealand USA UK Singapore Japan Malaysia South Korea India Hong Kong Sep-18 Sep-17 5 year average Source: September Short-term Movement, Visitor Arrivals - Selected Countries of Residence: Seasonally adjusted
8 Outbound Report Introduction This snapshot provides an overview of the performance of the Australian outbound travel sector. It uses information provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Overseas Arrivals and Departures (OAD) data set. Performance indicators are provided for each market. A neutral rating is provided for markets which have a year on year variation of (+/-) 2%.
9 Total outbound Australian travellers September This section displays the number of Australians travelling outbound each month. Month Change on previous year Change on previous year Performance October 839, % 888, % Positive November 839, % 888, % Positive December 874, % 877, % Neutral January 852, % 896, % Positive February 894, % 873, % Negative March 856, % 913, % Positive April 890, % 925, % Positive May 887, % 934, % Positive June 873, % 915, % Positive July 870, % 922, % Positive August 875, % 937, % Positive September 897, % 917, % Positive Total 10,450, % 10,889, % Positive Key Highlights During September, shortterm resident returns (917,600 movements) decreased 2.1% when compared with August (937,300 movements). This followed monthly increases of 0.8% for July and 1.6% for August. All months in, except for February demonstrate positive growth when compared to the same month in , , , , , , , , , , year average Source: September Short-term Movement, Residents Returning - Selected Destinations: Seasonally adjusted
10 Year end changes to popular international destinations travelled to by Australian s September This section displays the performance of the major destinations Australian s are travelling to as of September Year end 2017 and. Destination Year end change Year end change Performance New Zealand 1,429, % 1,421, % Neutral Indonesia 1,213, % 1,214, % Neutral USA 1,090, % 1,078, % Neutral UK 624, % 651, % Positive Thailand 567, % 582, % Positive China 524, % 581, % Positive Singapore 400, % 418, % Positive Japan 387, % 448, % Positive Fiji 349, % 342, % Negative India 348, % 386, % Positive National Total 10,450, % 10,869, % Positive Key Highlights Fiji experienced a decrease of 2% over the 12 month period. Fiji decreased from 31,500 in August to 26,600 in September, a decrease of 15%. 1,600,000 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,000, , , , ,000 0 New Zealand Indonesia USA UK Thailand China Singapore Japan Fiji India YE 18 Country YE 17 Country 5 year average Source: September Short-term Movement, Residents Returning - Selected Destinations: Seasonally adjusted
11 Monthly changes to popular international destinations travelled to by Australian s September This section displays the performance of the major destinations Australian s are travelling to, comparing September 2017 to September Destination 2017 Change to previous year Change to previous year Performance New Zealand 120, % 117, % Negative Indonesia 99, % 104, % Positive USA 90, % 89, % Neutral UK 52, % 53, % Neutral Thailand 49, % 46, % Negative China 46, % 51, % Positive Singapore 31, % 36, % Positive Japan 34, % 37, % Positive Fiji 28, % 26, % Negative India 29, % 35, % Positive National Total 897, % 917, % Positive Key Highlights 140, ,000 Thailand and Fiji both recorded negative growth when compared to September 2017 and also both dropped below the 5 year average. India and Singapore continue to show consistent growth for the 12 month period however the monthly growth from August to September was neutral. 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 New Zealand Indonesia USA UK Thailand China Singapore Japan Fiji India 18 Country 17 Country 5 year average Source: September Short-term Movement, Residents Returning - Selected Destinations: Seasonally adjusted
12 Reasons to travel to popular international destinations by Australian s September This section displays the performance of the popular destinations visited by Australian s by reason of travel in September. Holiday Visiting friends/relatives Business Other Reasons for Journey New Zealand 42.7% 31.0% 15.6% 10.7% Indonesia 86.4% 6.2% 2.7% 4.6% USA 66.5% 14.7% 9.7% 9.1% UK 46.0% 40.7% 7.0% 6.4% Thailand 78.0% 9.9% 4.9% 7.1% China 38.5% 30.7% 16.8% 14.0% Singapore 55.4% 16.5% 17.8% 10.3% Japan 68.7% 12.2% 9.7% 9.5% Fiji 78.2% 11.5% 3.1% 7.2% India 25.7% 50.1% 11.4% 12.8% National Total 59.4% 22.8% 8.7% 9.1% 100.0% 90.0% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% Holiday Visiting friends/relatives Business Other Reasons for Journey Source: September Short-term Movement, Residents Returning - Selected Destinations: Original
13 Airlines Introduction This snapshot provides the market share of each airline for international travel. Information is sourced directly from the Department of Infrastructure and Regional Development. Department Summary: Fifty-eight international airlines operated scheduled services to/from Australia during August (includes five dedicated freight airlines but excludes airlines operating only via code share arrangements). Source: International Airline Activity Monthly Publications, August
14 Monthly Share of passengers carried August -17 August -18 Airline activity - Month End August This snapshot displays the market share of each airline for international travel for the month of August. Qantas Airways 16.6% 17.1% Jetstar 9.8% 9.0% Singapore Airlines 8.2% 8.2% Emirates 7.9% 7.9% Virgin Australia 6.5% 6.4% Air New Zealand 6.3% 6.2% Cathay Pacific Airways 4.6% 4.4% Qatar Airways 2.7% 3.3% Etihad Airways 3.6% 3.3% China Southern Airlines 2.9% 3.1% Etihad Airways, 3.3% China Southern Airlines, 3.1% This information from the Department of Infrastructure and Regional Development presents statistical information on the scheduled operations of international airlines operating into/out of Australia. Qatar Airways, 3.3% Cathay Pacific Airways, 4.4% Air New Zealand, 6.2% Qantas Airways, 17.1% Jetstar, 9.0% Virgin Australia, 6.4% Emirates, 7.9% Singapore Airlines, 8.2% Source: International Airline Activity Monthly Publications, August 2017 and August
15 Year End share of passengers carried August - 17 Year End share of passengers carried August - 18 Airline activity Year End August This snapshot displays the market share of each airline for international travel of Year end August. This information from the Department of Infrastructure and Regional Development presents statistical information on the scheduled operations of international airlines operating into/out of Australia. Qantas Airways 16.0% Qantas Airways 16.9% Jetstar 9.3% Jetstar 9.0% Emirates 8.5% Singapore Airlines 8.0% Singapore Airlines 8.1% Emirates 7.9% Air New Zealand 6.6% Air New Zealand 6.6% Virgin Australia 6.1% Virgin Australia 6.1% Cathay Pacific Airways 4.7% Cathay Pacific Airways 4.4% AirAsia X 4.1% AirAsia X 3.4% Etihad Airways 3.2% China Southern Airlines 3.1% China Southern Airlines 3.0% Etihad Airways 3.0% Others 30.6% Others 31.6% Others, 31.6% Qantas Airways, 16.9% Jetstar, 9.0% Etihad Airways, 3.0% China Southern Airlines, 3.1% Singapore Airlines, 8.0% Emirates, 7.9% AirAsia X, 3.4% Cathay Pacific Airways, 4.4% Virgin Australia, 6.1% Air New Zealand, 6.6% Source: International Airline Activity Monthly Publications, August 2017 and August
16 For further information please contact: Naomi Menon Head of Compliance and Operations E: Ph: The information contained within this Report has been prepared by AFTA based upon best endeavours to ensure the accuracy and completeness of material. AFTA accepts no liability for any loss or damage a person suffers because that person has directly or indirectly relied on any information provided by AFTA. AFTA Travel Trends Report
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