Asia Pacific Aviation

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1 Asia Pacific Aviation Martin Eran-Tasker Technical Director Association of Asia Pacific Airlines COSCAP-NA 18 th SCM May 2018

2 Overview AAPA Asia Pacific aviation Safety Performance Safety Priorities & Risks Safety Challenge

AAPA Association of Asia Pacific Airlines

major international airlines based in Asia

airlines based in Asia Pacific region Committed

industry serving both passenger and freight

Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia Representation in

3 AAPA Association of Asia Pacific Airlines Regional trade association Members include major international airlines based in Asia Pacific Open to all scheduled international airlines based in Asia Pacific region Committed to promoting sustainable growth of the aviation industry serving both passenger and freight needs Permanent secretariat headquartered in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia Representation in Washington and Brussels Serving the community and always open to new members

4 Working relationship on safety with airlines in the region Always open to new members and partners

5 Aviation is Big and Growing Airbus GMF

6 Growing middle class Updated * Households with yearly income between $20,000 and $150,000 at PPP in constant 2016 prices ** Estimate for 1996 split by region Source: Airbus GMF Rapid growth of emerging market consumers

US$6 trillion Safely connecting people and business Wider social and economic

7 Aviation: delivering global mobility 4.1 billion passengers 11+ million daily 35% by value of global trade Goods worth US$6 trillion Safely connecting people and business Wider social and economic benefits Outstanding safety record Committed to sustainable growth Source: ICAO Preliminary Traffic Report, ATAG Benefits Beyond Borders

carriers overall market share: 34% of global passenger traffic 37% of global cargo traffic Data:

8 Asia Pacific Aviation US$218 billion revenue US$8 billion net profit 1,468 million passengers 1,054 million domestic 414 million international 23 million tonnes of cargo 7,867 aircraft Asia Pacific carriers overall market share: 34% of global passenger traffic 37% of global cargo traffic Data: Traffic: AAPA 2017 Estimates, Financials: IATA 2017 Estimates Source: Combined AAPA + non-aapa airlines GMT+5 to GMT+12

9 World s ten busiest international/regional routes Rank Route PAX (million) 1 Hong Kong - Taipei Jakarta - Singapore Dublin London Bangkok Hong Kong Kuala Lumpur Singapore Hong Kong Seoul London New York Hong Kong Singapore Osaka Taipei Tokyo Taipei 2.5 Source: IATA WATS 2017, 2016 data Key Asian air routes typically served by five or more airlines

10 World s ten busiest domestic routes Rank Route PAX (million) 1 Jeju Seoul Sapporo Tokyo Fukuoka Tokyo Melbourne Sydney Hanoi Ho Chi Minh City Beijing Shanghai Delhi Mumbai Jakarta Surabaya Jeddah Riyadh Beijing - Chengdu 4.4 also mostly in Asia Source: IATA WATS 2017, 2016 data

CIS Africa Major capital investment required Asia Pacific represents 40% of future

11 Asia Pacific markets to lead future growth Traffic by airline domicile (trillion RPKs) Asia Pacific Europe North America Middle East Latin America CIS Africa Major capital investment required Asia Pacific represents 40% of future aircraft orders & associated infrastructure requirements Source: Airbus GMF

12 Safety Performance

Aviation Safety Performance Western built jet aircraft Global Safety Performance: Major Accident Rate by Operator Region 2009 2018 3 year moving average 1 major accident in 1.

13 Aviation Safety Performance Western built jet aircraft Global Safety Performance: Major Accident Rate by Operator Region year moving average 1 major accident in 1.5 million flights 1 major accident in 2 million flights 1 major accident in 3 million flights 1 major accident in 4 million flights 1 major accident in 5 million flights Source: AAPA Striving for continuous improvement

Major Accident Sites - 2018 Fatal Non-fatal 3 Major

14 Major Accident Sites Fatal Non-fatal 3 Major Commercial Airline Accidents (188) 5 military transports (314)

15 Latent* Safety Conditions Deficient or absent: Regulatory oversight Safety management Management systems Change management SOP and checking Training systems Qualifications and experience * Conditions present in the system before event and triggered by various factors

16 Safety Priorities & Risks

17 Global Safety Priorities Controlled Flight into Terrain (CFIT) Loss of Control in Flight (LOC-I Runway Safety

18 Asia Pacific Safety Risks Identified Risk Factors: Controlled Flight into Terrain (CFIT) (turboprops) Loss of Control in Flight Approach & Landing Runway Safety (excursions) Human Factors Wild Life Management Ground Accidents Focus on development and implementation of action plans to proactively manage such threats

19 How Can We? Enhance regional safety Improve safety culture Compliance culture v proactive safety culture/ risk based Ensure effective SMS implementation Respond to the challenges of growth Ensure effective training Ensure investment in infrastructure Respond to the need for a professional and experienced workforce source

Safety Culture the way things are done here the way an

strengthened by open and honest reporting system learns from

and procedures are improved to prevent recurrence of the errors

20 Safety Culture the way things are done here the way an organization conducts its business and manages safety. strengthened by open and honest reporting system learns from errors, identify and take remedial action ensure that processes and procedures are improved to prevent recurrence of the errors Personal attitudes and Corporate Style Overcomes cultural attitudes Lead by example

21 Safety Challenge

Infrastructure Compliance Adopt proactive approach Effective SMS

22 Challenges in Asia Pacific Growth Regulatory oversight Political commitment Resources Legislative framework and policies Infrastructure Compliance Adopt proactive approach Effective SMS implementation Just Culture Data sharing Requires trust Facilitate risk assessments

measure, not a solution Governments need to think beyond national borders and develop regional air

23 Infrastructure Airports and airspace modernisation must keep pace with rapid traffic growth to avoid congestion and delays Significant capital investment required Slots management is an interim measure, not a solution Governments need to think beyond national borders and develop regional air traffic flow management systems Government role to coordinate infrastructure planning and investment

24 AAPA approach Open door policy on safety Efforts based on trust, transparency and partnership Forums, Workshops and Working Groups Safety Networks FOSWG, CaSWG, APTSF APASS Support national safety forums/ teams Outreach to regional ANSPs Work proactively with the regions regulators at COSCAP, APRASG andap DGCA conference to enhance safety Support AP-Share TWG Co Chair

25 AAPA approach Urge for effective regulatory oversight Urge for industry consultation Benchmarking and sharing of data with airline safety partners InfoExchange Hazard Reporting Sharing best practices Develop guidance and training Just Culture Outreach to Turboprop operators

26 Closing thoughts Passengers are our responsibility and must always have confidence that their journey will be safe, secure and convenient Flying is safer than ever Future infrastructure planning is today s challenge Governments need to keep pace with changing market dynamics Asia Pacific airlines are shaping the future of global aviation Acceptable levels of safety performance are our joint concern

28 Association of Asia Pacific Airlines Level 27-1, Menara Prestige 1 Jalan Pinang Kuala Lumpur MALAYSIA Tel: Fax:

29 AAPA Definition of Major Accidents AAPA defines Major Accident as an event that results in Aircraft destroyed; or Multiple fatalities to passengers and crew; or One fatality and the aircraft is substantially damaged. This includes any aircraft that is missing or inaccessible. In addition to the above, the AAPA includes the following extra criteria for its major accident statistics preparation: Aircraft involved is a western-built commercial jet aircraft of more than 30 passengers or MTOW of 20,000kg Aircraft involved is a commercial turboprop aircraft of more than 19 passengers or MTOW of 15,000kg

Asia Pacific Aviation

Asia Pacific Aviation Regional Safety and Outreach Martin Eran-Tasker Technical Director Association of Asia Pacific Airlines Overview AAPA Asia Pacific aviation Safety performance Challenges Priorities