Canada Jetlines Ltd. (TSXV: JET / OTCQB: JETMF) Secures Airport Agreements / Further Advances Operations

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1 Siddharth Rajeev, B.Tech, MBA, CFA Anthony de Ruijter, BA December 11, 2017 Canada Jetlines Ltd. (TSXV: JET / OTCQB: JETMF) Secures Airport Agreements / Further Advances Operations Industry: Airlines Market Data (as of December 11, 2017) Current Price C$0.33 Fair Value C$3.03 Rating* BUY Risk* 4 52 Week Range C$0.17 C$0.34 Shares O/S 57,911,409 Market Cap C$18.82 mm Current Yield N/A P/E (forward) N/A P/B 5.18x YoY Return n/a YoY TSXV 5.83% *see back of report for rating and risk definitions Investment Highlights Canada Jetlines ( company, Jetlines ) has secured multiple agreements with secondary airports across Canada to offer ultralow-cost air service in the summer of Airports include John C. Munro Hamilton International Airport, Abbotsford International Airport, and Halifax Stanfield International Airport. The company has made a significant addition to its advisory board in the form of a former executive member of the John C. Munro Hamilton International Airport. The addition adds significant airline industry experience and expertise to the company s leadership team. The company s shares began trading on the OTCQB exchange, under the ticker JETMF, on October 3, Jetlines has signed a letter of intent ( LOI ) for the delivery of two Boeing (NYSE: BA) NG aircraft by April 2018, beginning the build out of their fleet. The company maintains a strong cash position and working capital position of $3.74 million and $3.15 million, respectively. We are maintaining our BUY rating with fair value estimate of $3.03 per share. Key Financial Data (FYE - Dec 31) (C$) Q Cash $ 3,736,336 Working Capital $ 3,153,034 Debt $ - Total Assets $ 4,530,815 Net Income (9M ended Q3-2017) $ -8,232,388 Shareholders' Equity $ 3,635, Fundamental Research Corp. 10+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront

2 Page 2 Corporate Update Jetlines has advanced significantly, reporting the following, since our initial report published on September 6, 2017: On December 5, announced its intent to offer flights out of Halifax Stanfield International Airport ( YHZ Airport ), come summer On November 2, addition of the former CEO and president of John C. Munro Hamilton International Airport, to the company s advisory board. On October 30, intent to offer flights out of the Abbotsford International Airport ( YXX Airport ), come summer On September 11, reached an agreement to provide ultra-low-cost air service out of both John C. Munro Hamilton International Airport ( YHM Airport ) and entered active discussions with the Region of Waterloo International Airport ( YKF ). On September 7, signed an LOI with a major US aircraft leasing firm for two Boeing NG aircraft. The agreement stipulated the delivery of the aircraft for April This is inline with the company s expectation that they will be able to grow the fleet by four aircraft per year. The agreements with airports listed above allow the company to establish an east coast base of operations in Hamilton, and a west coast base of operations in Abbotsford. We view this as a favourable sign of the company s progress. Furthermore, it is inline with the company s strategy of establishing operations at lower-cost airports, whilst still maintaining access to well-populated regions and catchment areas. Expanding Planned Routes, Securing Agreements Halifax Stanfield International Airport: The YHZ Airport ranks as Canada s eighth busiest airport, and is considered the primary airport in the province of Nova Scotia. Furthermore, the airport contributes $2.8 billion to Nova Scotia s economy on an annual basis. The following chart outlines the airport s historic passenger traffic until Source: Halifax Stanfield International Airport, FRC In 2016, the YHZ Airport reported enplanements and deplanements of 3.91 million, growing at a CAGR of 1.82% since 2010.

3 Page 3 Abbotsford International Airport: The YXX Airport in Abbotsford also exhibits similarly low passenger traffic in comparison to the primary Vancouver International Airport. Statistics Canada reported that, in 2016, the Vancouver International Airport had enplanements and deplanements totalling over 21.3 million. By comparison, YXX reported 2016 air passenger traffic of 530,643. Though the difference in passenger traffic is pronounced, YXX represents the primary air infrastructure in the Fraser Valley region, the population of which has more than doubled since Furthermore, as Abbotsford is only about 50 kilometres from the Bellingham International Airport, we believe that the region is experiencing passenger loss to cheaper airlines in the US. Jetlines entry into the Canadian airlines market may repatriate some of this catchment passenger loss, as ultra-low-cost airlines may incentivize these passengers and reduce their opportunity cost. Source: Abbotsford International Airport, FRC John C. Munro Hamilton International Airport: YHM gives the company exposure to a significant portion of Southern Ontario, despite not running operations out of the major airport in the area, the Toronto Pearson International Airport. Jetlines views Southern Ontario as a major opportunity, as management believes less than 5% of the region s flights pass through the five secondary airports (excluding Billy Bishop Toronto City Airport). We believe that the significant difference in passenger traffic reflects a large opportunity for Jetlines, to both generate new traffic and capture existing passenger traffic via price stimulation. As the map below shows, YHM s catchment area radius (defined as a 90-kilometre drive from each airport) contains over four million people, and overlaps the London and Waterloo regions.

4 Page 4 Southern Ontario Secondary Airport Catchment Areas Source: C4SE Economic Model, McKinsey, Company In 2016, YHM reported that 333,368 passengers had flown to and from YHM, against total enplanements and deplanements at Toronto s Pearson International Airport of 42.8 million. Management have also released updated plans for routes that they intend to offer once they commence operations. The following map depicts initial routes to be offered in the summer of 2018: Jetlines Planned Routes: 2018 Summer Source: Company The company plans to offer the following routes by the winter of As we noted in our initial report, the company intends to expand operations south to the U.S., Mexico, and the

5 Page 5 Caribbean. Jetlines Planned Routes: Winter Source: Company In addition to announcing operational centres, the company also announced the addition of Vijay Bathija to the company s advisory board. A brief biography, as provided by the company, is presented below: Mr. Bathija has over 20 years of aviation industry experience with low cost start-ups, network carriers, and Canadian airport management. Mr. Bathija was most recently President and CEO of John C. Munro Hamilton International Airport. During his tenure, the airport realized over 70% growth in passengers and secured significant new air services. Under Vijay s leadership, the airport repositioned itself as a low-cost airport and subsequently became one of the fastest growing Canadian airports in Prior to his time with the John C. Munro Hamilton International Airport, Mr. Bathija spent nine years with Air Canada in progressively senior roles from Senior Director of Network Planning to Vice President, Commercial for Air Canada Leisure Group, which includes Air Canada Vacations and Air Canada Rouge. In this position, Vijay successfully led the commercial activities for the launch of Rouge and oversaw the ramp up of an initial fleet of 4 aircraft to 27 aircraft within the first year of operations. Vijay also consulted as the Senior Principal/Director of Airline Planning for Sabre Airline Solutions, advising the client airlines on network, fleet, and alliance strategies. Industry Developments WestJet Airlines Ltd. (TSX: WJA) revealed in late September that their planned ULCC airline would be offered through the Swoop brand.

6 Page 6 Source: WestJet The ULCC airline poses a potential threat to Jetlines, as WestJet boasts a long track record and has established infrastructure in place. Jetlines, by comparison, is pre-revenue, and has yet to raise the required capital to facilitate the planned operational launch. As investors may recall from our previous report, the Canada Transport Agency ( CTA ) requires airline startups to provide sufficient funding for the operation of services for a 90-day period, assuming zero revenue. WestJet s proposed airline is aiming to begin operations June 2018, with a fleet of six Boeing series aircraft, scaling up to 10 by spring This puts Swoop ahead of Jetlines in terms of fleet buildout and scale. Another issue is that WestJet have confirmed that Swoop will include YXX as an initial destination - directly competing with Jetlines on the west coast. However, there is still confusion as to how Swoop will be able to maintain low costs despite regulations that stipulate the maintenance of compensation standards between parent companies and subsidiaries. With WestJet s pilots unionizing, pilots of their regional carrier voting in favor of unionization, and concern that flight attendants may also soon move towards unionization, we remain unconvinced that Swoop can operate as a true ULCC. Until WestJet is able to address their ability to maintain low labor costs, we believe that Swoop s labor costs will reflect WestJet s in the long-term. We will be closely monitoring Swoop s developments. Financials At the end of Q (ended September 30, 2017), the company had cash and working capital of $3.74 million and $3.15 million, respectively. The following table summarizes the company s liquidity position: Liquidity & Capital Structure 2017(Q3) Cash 3,736,336 Working Capital 3,153,034 Current Ratio 4.60 Total Debt / Capital 0% The following table summarizes the company s cashflows:

7 Page 7 Summary of Cash Flows ($, mm) 2016 (9M) 2017 (9M) Operating -$0.04 -$0.30 Investing $0.01 $0.01 Financing $0.03 $0.65 Effects of Exchange Rate $0.00 $0.00 Net -$0.00 $0.36 Free Cash Flows to Firm (FCF) -$0.03 -$0.29 Valuation The company currently has 6.8 million options outstanding (weighted average exercise price of $0.28 per share) and 30 million warrants outstanding (weighted average exercise price of $0.43). Currently, we estimate that 1.5 million options and nil warrants are in-the-money. If all options were exercised, the company could raise an additional $0.32 million. We are maintaining our long-term revenue forecasts and cash flow projections; details are presented in our initiating report. Our projections are based on the following assumptions: Passenger count reaching 6.61 million by the end of We believe this is reasonable based on an 8% market share of the total domestic market that we have forecasted for the end of As their initial operations will be mainly in Canada, our forecasts are only based on the domestic market. Costs and revenue estimates are based on a selected basket of ULCC airline comparables. Note that management estimates that ULCC airlines could achieve market penetration of up to 12.5% of the total projected domestic and trans-border Canadian passengers. Source: Company The following table shows our comparables valuation based on expected revenue and EBITDA projections for The average valuation multiples were based on a peer group of established ULCCs.

8 Page 8 Comparables Valuation 2025 Forecast (Revenues) $985,474, Forecast (EBITDA) $179,956,928 Average EV / Revenue 1.30 Average EV / EBITDA 7.22 Expected EV at 2025 ($) $1,281,116,979 Expected EV at 2025 ($) $1,299,289,023 Present Value of EV ($) $271,987,031 Present Value of EV ($) $275,845,039 Avg. Present Value of EV ($) $273,916,035 Value per Share (C$) $4.72 Value per Share (C$) $4.78 The average of our discounted cash flow valuation ($ million) and our comparables valuation ($ million) is $ million. The comparables valuation rose from our previous estimate of $ million, due to an increase in the average EV/ Revenue and EV/ EBITDA multiples of comparables. As mentioned in our initial report, our value per share estimate is dependent on the then current share price that the company will use to raise the CTA initial capital requirements mentioned earlier. The following table shows the various potential scenarios and our expected fair value per share for each scenario. Valuation Summary New Shares Issued Total Shares Fair Value 100% equity at $0.33 per share 137,161, ,072,494 $ % equity at $0.33 per share 68,580, ,491,951 $ % equity at $0.50 per share 90,526, ,437,725 $ % equity at $0.50 per share 45,263, ,174,567 $ % equity at $1 per share 45,263, ,174,567 $ % equity at $1 per share 22,631,579 80,542,988 $ % debt - 57,911,409 $5.93 Source: FRC We are maintaining our fair value estimate at $3.03. Risks We believe the company is exposed to the following risks (list is non-exhaustive): Our valuation is dependent on a 2018 launch. Delays or other changes to the operational timeline could significantly impact our valuation. High barriers to entry due to existing duopoly, as well as large initial operating cash requirement. External surcharges that are beyond the company s control could affect their ability to

9 Page 9 charge sufficiently low prices and stimulate new demand. These charges include taxes, airport fees, etc. The company is in early stages and has yet to commence operations. The existing Air Canada (TSX: AC)/ WestJet duopoly dominates the Canadian aviation market. WestJet is planning to release their own ULCC fleet, Swoop. Access to capital and share dilution. We are maintaining our risk rating of 4 (speculative).

10 Page 10 Fundamental Research Corp. Equity Rating Scale: Buy Annual expected rate of return exceeds 12% or the expected return is commensurate with risk Hold Annual expected rate of return is between 5% and 12% Sell Annual expected rate of return is below 5% or the expected return is not commensurate with risk Suspended or Rating N/A Coverage and ratings suspended until more information can be obtained from the company regarding recent events. Fundamental Research Corp. Risk Rating Scale: 1 (Low Risk) - The company operates in an industry where it has a strong position (for example a monopoly, high market share etc.) or operates in a regulated industry. The future outlook is stable or positive for the industry. The company generates positive free cash flow and has a history of profitability. The capital structure is conservative with little or no debt. 2 (Below Average Risk) - The company operates in an industry where the fundamentals and outlook are positive. The industry and company are relatively less sensitive to systematic risk than companies with a Risk Rating of 3. The company has a history of profitability and has demonstrated its ability to generate positive free cash flows (though current free cash flow may be negative due to capital investment). The company s capital structure is conservative with little to modest use of debt. 3 (Average Risk) - The company operates in an industry that has average sensitivity to systematic risk. The industry may be cyclical. Profits and cash flow are sensitive to economic factors although the company has demonstrated its ability to generate positive earnings and cash flow. Debt use is in line with industry averages, and coverage ratios are sufficient. 4 (Speculative) - The company has little or no history of generating earnings or cash flow. Debt use is higher. These companies may be in start-up mode or in a turnaround situation. These companies should be considered speculative. 5 (Highly Speculative) - The company has no history of generating earnings or cash flow. They may operate in a new industry with new, and unproven products. Products may be at the development stage, testing, or seeking regulatory approval. These companies may run into liquidity issues, and may rely on external funding. These stocks are considered highly speculative. Disclaimers and Disclosure The opinions expressed in this report are the true opinions of the analyst about this company and industry. Any forward looking statements are our best estimates and opinions based upon information that is publicly available and that we believe to be correct, but we have not independently verified with respect to truth or correctness. There is no guarantee that our forecasts will materialize. Actual results will likely vary. The analyst and Fundamental Research Corp. FRC does not own any shares of the subject company, does not make a market or offer shares for sale of the subject company, and does not have any investment banking business with the subject company. Fees were paid by JET to FRC. The purpose of the fee is to subsidize the high costs of research and monitoring. FRC takes steps to ensure independence including setting fees in advance and utilizing analysts who must abide by CFA Institute Code of Ethics and Standards of Professional Conduct. Additionally, analysts may not trade in any security under coverage. Our full editorial control of all research, timing of release of the reports, and release of liability for negative reports are protected contractually. To further ensure independence, JET has agreed to a minimum coverage term including an initial report and three updates. Coverage cannot be unilaterally terminated. Distribution procedure: our reports are distributed first to our web-based subscribers on the date shown on this report then made available to delayed access users through various other channels for a limited time. The distribution of FRC s ratings are as follows: BUY (72%), HOLD (7%), SELL / SUSPEND (21%). To subscribe for real-time access to research, visit for subscription options. This report contains "forward looking" statements. Forward-looking statements regarding the Company and/or stock s performance inherently involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ from such forward-looking statements. Factors that would cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, continued acceptance of the Company's products/services in the marketplace; acceptance in the marketplace of the Company's new product lines/services; competitive factors; new product/service introductions by others; technological changes; dependence on suppliers; systematic market risks and other risks discussed in the Company's periodic report filings, including interim reports, annual reports, and annual information forms filed with the various securities regulators. By making these forward looking statements, Fundamental Research Corp. and the analyst/author of this report undertakes no obligation to update these statements for revisions or changes after the date of this report. A report initiating coverage will most often be updated quarterly while a report issuing a rating may have no further or less frequent updates because the subject company is likely to be in earlier stages where nothing material may occur quarter to quarter. Fundamental Research Corp DOES NOT MAKE ANY WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED FROM USING THIS INFORMATION AND MAKES NO EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR USE. ANYONE USING THIS REPORT ASSUMES FULL RESPONSIBILITY FOR WHATEVER RESULTS THEY OBTAIN FROM WHATEVER USE THE INFORMATION WAS PUT TO. ALWAYS TALK TO YOUR FINANCIAL ADVISOR BEFORE YOU INVEST. WHETHER A STOCK SHOULD BE INCLUDED IN A PORTFOLIO DEPENDS ON ONE S RISK TOLERANCE, OBJECTIVES, SITUATION, RETURN ON OTHER ASSETS, ETC. ONLY YOUR INVESTMENT ADVISOR WHO KNOWS YOUR UNIQUE CIRCUMSTANCES CAN MAKE A PROPER RECOMMENDATION AS TO THE MERIT OF ANY PARTICULAR SECURITY FOR INCLUSION IN YOUR PORTFOLIO. This REPORT is solely for informative purposes and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security. It is not intended as being a complete description of the company, industry, securities or developments referred to in the material. Any forecasts contained in this report were independently prepared unless otherwise stated, and HAVE NOT BEEN endorsed by the Management of the company which is the subject of this report. Additional information is available upon request. THIS REPORT IS COPYRIGHT. YOU MAY NOT REDISTRIBUTE THIS REPORT WITHOUT OUR PERMISSION. Please give proper credit, including citing Fundamental Research Corp and/or the analyst, when quoting information from this report. 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