AAPA Safety Briefing

Transcription

1 AAPA Safety Briefing Martin Eran-Tasker Technical Director Association of Asia Pacific Airlines 10 h COSCAP-NA Steering Committee Guilin, China April 2010

2 Overview Asia Pacific aviation Current challenges Safety AAPA efforts

3 AAPA Association of Asia Pacific Airlines Regional trade association Current members include 15 major international airlines based in Asia Pacific Open to all scheduled international airlines based in Asia Pacific region Committed to promoting sustainable growth of the aviation industry serving both passenger and freight needs Permanent secretariat headquartered in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia Representation in Washington and Brussels always open to new members

4 Asia Pacific Diverse geographic region Home to 4 billion people - 62% of the world s population Generates 27% of global GDP Wide range of income levels Dynamic economies leading the global recovery Aviation widely recognised as a key contributor to economic and social development

5 Asia Pacific Aviation US$ 128 billion revenue 647 million passengers 421 million domestic 226 million international 15 million tonnes of cargo 4,300 aircraft Asia Pacific carriers overall market share: 29% of global passenger traffic 40% of global cargo traffic Data: 2009 Estimate Source: Combined AAPA + non-aapa airlines GMT+5 to GMT+12

6 Improving global economic outlook, led by developing Asian economies Rebuilding damaged balanced sheets, working towards profitability Aviation projected to lose in 2009 USD 9.4b with USD 2.8b in 2010 Fuel price remains volatile Future aviation growth cautiously optimistic

7 Airlines response to the downturn Trimmed route networks and capacity in response to lower demand Implemented wide range of measures to reduce staff costs, retrenchment as a last resort Reduced utilisation, grounded surplus aircraft, some deferrals of new deliveries Conserve cash, strengthen balance sheet Working with industry partners to reduce unnecessary costs Airlines focused on survival whilst preserving ability to respond to the upturn

8 Future growth postponed Loss of two years of previously anticipated growth Source: IATA Significant implications for investment and capacity management, throughout the value chain

9 Long term growth prospects still bright Asia Pacific s share of world traffic will keep on growing Source: Airbus

10 Safety

11 Asia Pacific: regulatory perspectives Diverse region: multiple governments and regulators Need for multilateral cooperation Harmonisation is more about sharing best practices before legislating, not about resolving differences after unilaterally imposed regulations Positive bias towards consensus, but sometimes slows the process Institutional framework remains fragmented, although APEC and ASEAN do touch on aviation policy issues Asia Pacific still lacks bloc negotiating power

12 Safety ICAO Universal Safety Oversight Audit Programme - Low regional compliance to ICAO Annexes FAA International Aviation Safety Assessment Programme - Downgrade to Cat 2 Indonesia & Philippines - Others under consideration EC Safety Assessment of Foreign Aircraft (SAFA) EU Operational ban Blacklisting Increase in regional ramp inspections Safety Management Systems Jan 09 Media reporting and perceptions

13 Observations: Safety Performance in 2009 One of the safest years in aviation history One major accident for every two million flights 25% fewer than the average for recent years One third involved freighter aircraft One third occurred during the approach and landing phase One quarter were due to runway over-runs Only one major accident involving a carrier based in the Asia Pacific region

14 Aviation Safety Media Focus

15 Global Safety Performance Review Industry Safety Record Western-built jet aircraft * Major Accidents Accident Rate^ Fatal Accidents Fatalities ^ per million sectors * Year to date 5 April

16 Major Accident Rates (per mil sectors) Safety performance by operator region 1.80 Western-built Jet Aircraft Major Accident Rates by Operator Region year moving averages World IATA North America Europe Asia Pacific AAPA

17 Major Accident Rates (per mil sectors) Safety performance ASPAC region 4.50 Western-built Jet Aircraft Major Accident Rates Asia Pacific Regional Breakdown year moving averages Asia Pacific total AAPA P.R. China India Others

18 AAPA Efforts

19 AAPA Safety Strategy Enhance safety in the Asia Pacific region senior management commitment, SMS, cost-effective training packages/technology, just culture, language proficiency, avoid duplication Engage regulators and industry safety stakeholders Encourage effective oversight, support the establishment of a regional safety regulatory body, forums and dialogue sessions Encourage effective and timely safety investigations Safety data management and analysis Develop key safety performance indicators, analytical tools, threat and error management, and risk management assessment tools Communicate on regional safety performance and action plans Act as a regional safety spokesman and offer a regional viewpoint

20 AAPA Safety Focus Flight Operations Safety Working Group - Meets twice per year - Comprises Heads of Safety - Open door policy to ASPAC carriers Data sharing, lessons learnt, review of incidents and causal factors Cabin Safety Task Force - new Safety Management Systems implementation Safety surveys Regional risk assessment

21 AAPA Safety Focus 2009/2010 Wildlife hazards - Cost industry USD 1.5b per annum - Problematic airports DEL PEN SGN BKK - Need for a regional forum TCAS RA Ground safety Runway Safety - Need for a regional forum Developing a Just culture implementation best practice document Safety Performance indicators Asia Pacific Aviation Safety Seminar Sep Venue Manila - Host Philippines Airlines

22 AAPA Projects Safety Performance Indicators Better manage operational safety performance and reduce associated costs Identify, document, and measure leading edge safety performance metrics Proactive methodology to enable timely identification of escalating risk Safety performance management tool Applicable to all SMS Stakeholder organizations Safety Performance Indicators pilot - Philippine Airlines + 1

23 Finally Aviation is at the heart of global economic development Asia Pacific aviation maintains a very good safety record Need to strengthen regional safety oversight and make better use of available regulatory resources Acceptable levels of safety performance can only be achieved through transparency, collaboration and cooperation Asia Pacific carriers safety performance continues to improve and is comparable to industry standards. Strong reservations about unilateral imposition of operational bans on airlines, and effects of category downgrading of national authorities Aviation remains the safest mode of transportation

24 Association of Asia Pacific Airlines 9/F Kompleks Antarabangsa Jalan Sultan Ismail Kuala Lumpur MALAYSIA Tel: Fax:

25 Ground Safety

26 Types Ground Incidents by Type (33rd vs 34th FOSWG) Aircraft-to-Vehicles Loading Aircraft-to-GSE Aircraft-to-Facilities FOD Aircraft-to-Aircraft Others Number of Incidents Jul - Dec 2009 Jan - Jun 2009

27 Incident Rates (per 1,000 sectors) Ground Incidents by Airport DEL SFO JNB BOM LAX MXP CDG AMS ANC FRA Airport

28 TCAS - RA

29 FIR / Aerodrome TCAS Incident Rates by FIR SFO LAX TPE SIN HKG KUL Rates (per 1,000 sectors)

30 Bird Hazards

31 Airports Non-Damage Bird Strike Incident Rates by Airport DEL TAO SGN HAN CGK PEN PVG BKK LHR SIN Rates (per 1,000 sectors)

32 Airports Damage Bird Strike Incident Rates by Airport JFK FRA HKT KUL SIN Rates (per 1,000 sectors)

33 Bird Hazards A number of airports in the region demonstrated consistently high bird strike rate: DEL PEK MNL SGN BKK CGK PEN