Aviation Updates. Mr. John Schubert. Managing Director, Marketing-Asia Pacific & India
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1 Aviation Updates Mr. John Schubert Managing Director, Marketing-Asia Pacific & India
2 Market Update The statements contained herein are based on good faith assumptions are to be used for general information purposes only. These statements do not constitute an offer, promise, warranty or guarantee of performance. John Schubert Managing Director, Marketing Boeing Commercial Airplanes May 2017
3 Agenda Market trends and performance Current Market Outlook (CMO) Product update
4
5 Growth driven by emerging economies, LCCs Continued strong replacement demand New airplanes, capabilities opening new markets
6 LCC ASM share 25% 20% 15% February % 5% 0% February 2016 SOURCE: Innovata
7 787 opening new markets More than 140 new nonstop markets now connected with the 787 In operation Announced As of March 23, 2017
8 Traffic growth rates (RPKs) Net profit (billions) Net profit margins 8% $40 6% 7% $35 5% 6% $30 5% $25 4% 4% $20 3% 3% $15 2% 2% $10 1% $5 1% 0% $ % SOURCE: IATA 8
9 Passenger traffic growth Cargo traffic growth Airline profits SOURCES: Boeing estimates for growth, IATA forecast for airline profits
10 Headwinds in the market Economic Geopolitical $ $ $ $ Wide economic growth variation Populism Volatile exchange rates Increased geopolitical uncertainty BREXIT Trade / air cargo Terrorism frequency, breadth
11 Agenda Market performance, trends Current Market Outlook (CMO) Product update
12 RPKs (trillions) Resilient, growing market expected to continue 5% long-term growth rate RPKs = Revenue Passenger Kilometers SOURCE: ICAO scheduled traffic
13 Average annual growth 4.0% 4.8% 4.2% 2.9% World economy (GDP) Number of airline passengers Passenger traffic (RPK) Cargo traffic (RTK) GDP Pax RPK RTK
14 World Market fragmentation drives growth Air Travel Growth Frequency Growth Nonstop Markets Average Airplane Size 0.5 SOURCE: August OAG/Innovata Index 1995=1.00
15 Airplane deliveries: 39, Market value: $5,930B ,000 28,140 Airplane Type Value 2% 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5, ,380 Regional jets 6% Singleaisle 71% 5,100 Small wide-body 13% 3,470 Medium wide-body 9% 530 Large wide-body 1% Regional jets $110B Single-aisle Small wide-body $3,000B $1,350B Medium wide-body $1,250B Large wide-body $220B World Total $5,930B 21% 23% 4% $5.9T 51% NOTE: market share may not equal 100% due to rounding
16 RPKs (billions) Within South Asia 2015 traffic Added traffic Annual growth % 9.5% Middle East 7.5% Southeast Asia 8.9% Europe China 7.5% 5.8% South Asia GDP Growth: 6.3% North America Africa 7.8% 10.0% South Asia Average Growth: 8.6% Northeast Asia 6.6%
17 Airplane deliveries: 2, ,800 1,500 1, Regional jets 1% 1,690 Singleaisle 85% 140 Small wide-body 7% 150 Medium wide-body 8% 0 Large wide-body 0% Market value: $260 billion $<5B Regional jets <1% $180B Singleaisle 69% $30B Small wide-body 12% $50B Medium wide-body 19% $0B Large wide-body 0% NOTE: market share may not equal 100% due to rounding
18 Commercial Aviation Services: $8T Services by region ,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 CAGR $125 Corporate & External 2.9% $450 Marketing & Planning 4.2% $1,140 Flight Ops 3.9% $2,110 Maintenance & Engineering 4.1% $4,300 Ground, & Cargo Ops 3.7% Region Services / CAGR Asia 3, % North America 1, % Europe 1, % Middle East % Latin America % Africa % C.I.S % World Total $8, % 9% 21% 3% 6% 3% $8T 21% 37%
19 Agenda Market performance, trends Current Market Outlook (CMO) Product update
20 Seats Seats Superior value, efficient market coverage Current Boeing Future Boeing ER LR ER 737 MAX ER 737 MAX MAX MAX Boeing Standard Rules seat counts
21 Backlog by value ($B) 747 ME, Central & S. Asia Leasing, Gov't & BBJ Region North America L. America & Africa Asia Pacific Backlog = 5,715 aircraft Value = $416 billion 777 Large 1% Twin- Aisle 49% Model Single- Aisle 50% 737 Europe & Russia China, East & SE Asia
22
23 First delivery in 2018
24 737 MAX 7 and 737 MAX 200
25 Most profitable single-aisle the industry has ever seen
26 First delivery in 2018
27 Industry- Award- Greater Earlier Highly leading winning range airplane valued reliability interior capability availability investment
28
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