The Great Lakes Private Sector Investment Conference (PSIC) Kinshasa, DRC February 2016

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1 The Great Lakes Private Sector Investment Conference (PSIC) Kinshasa, DRC February 2016 Brussels roadshow 26 November 2015 Trevor Williams Consultant Allan Mukungu Senior Economics Affairs Officer Office of the Special Envoy of the Secretary-General for the Great Lakes Region

2 AGENDA I. The Great Lakes at a glance II. Why invest in the Great Lakes? III. Investment projects: Overview IV. The PSIC: What, why, who, how, & where? V. Q&A

3 I. At a glance The Great Lakes region by the numbers. Countries 13 GDP PPP (US$) 1 146,316,00 0,000 1 common Peace Agreement THE PSC-F Population 385 M. Major lakes 9 Area (sq.km)

4 II. Why invest in the Region? 1. MARKET SIZE & MARKET ACCESS Population: 385,000,000 ( USA population) Aggregate GDP of the region (2015 WB): US $ 791,466,611,825 Africa (54) : US$ 2.49 trillion Increasing domestic resource mobilization: Growing purchase power (PPP in the region = US$ 1 146,316,000,000) Growing consumerism Establishment of effective regional economic communities e.g. COMESA, SADC, EAC, AGOA Preferential access to key markets on regional and international levels (EU, US, China etc.).

5 II. Why invest in the Region? 2. RESOURCES & OPPORTUNITIES Tremendous natural resources reserves At the heart of the GLR is the economic sleeping giant: the DRC - Rich soil and thousands of hectares of arable land - Geological reserves worth 24 trillion (Copper, cobalt, gold, diamonds, coltan, zinc, tin, tungsten, uranium, silver, coal, niobium, manganese) But also significant natural reserves in: Zambia (copper), Tanzania (gold, phosphates, iron, gemstones), Angola (diamonds, copper, ore, bauxite, uranium, phosphates, etc.) South Africa (major supplier of best-breed technologies in the global mining sector) Rapid growth in demand for these resources (spec. from China & India) Global commodity trade boom + Demand for lesser known mineral resources (such as Coltan Tantalum electronic equipment _phones, computers, spacecraft) is driving interest in the region s mining investment opportunities.

6 II. Why invest in the Region? 2. RESOURCES & OPPORTUNITIES (Cont.) An abundance of arable land (for irrigation, energy generation) with ideal soil and climate conditions for a wide variety of agricultural products (See Kenya & Rwanda recent track records) Growing food demand vs Net Food Importer African population expected to double to 2 billion by 2050 and the urban population is growing more rapidly : Vital to increase agricultural production. African nations aggregate food importation is more than US$50 billion Enviable natural assets for tourism (e.g. Tanzania - 25% of its land to game reserves) A youthful, fast growing, urbanizing, better educated, middle class population. Available and affordable labor force Infrastructure development & technological savvy (High internet penetration. Innovative mobile phones usage)

7 Recent two way trade between Africa and: US: grew 122% US$ 88 billion EU: grew 126% US$ billion India: 506% US$ 34.3 billion China: 708% US$ 93.6 billion recently top US$ 200 BILLION II. Why invest in the Region? 3. GROWING ECONOMIES The region includes - the 4 fastest (Dar es Salam, Nairobi, Kinshasa and Luanda) and the - 8 of the top 20 fastest growing African cities - The 4 cities are also among the fastest growing cities in the world. Expanding export markets, trading partners & diversified development assistance Rise of large companies and of South-South Trade in the region over the past 10 years. Increase economic interaction/partnership through : - Formal dialogue platform (Forum on China-Africa cooperation, India-Africa Forum ) - No formal dialogue platform (Brazil, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Singapore, etc.) - Trilateral agreements (India-Brazil-South Africa Partnership) - Interregional (New Asian-African Strategic partnership, Afro-Arab Cooperation)

8 II. Why invest in the Region? 4. A CONDUCIVE INVESTMENT ENVIRONMENT REFORMS T A B I L I T Y Economic Institutional Legal Political (Security)

9 II. Why invest in the Region? Pioneering international agreement: The Peace, Security and Cooperation Framework (PSC Framework) for the DRC and the region Signed in Feb by the Heads of State of the GLR 13 signatories; Reinforces the ICGLR Pact on Peace, Security and Development signed by the Heads of State in 2006; Both set out commitments for the Governments of the GLR long-term peace, stability and shared prosperity for all.

10 II. Why invest in the Region? Pioneering international agreement: The PSC Framework for the DRC and the region Brings together the Heads of State to address the root causes of conflict in eastern DRC and other parts of the region, but also to take action for long-term development; Heads of State committed to strengthen regional cooperation, including deepening economic integration ; UN Special Envoy for the GLR and ICGLR Executive Secretary mandated to organize a Private Sector Investment Conference to showcase regional investment opportunities in the Great Lakes Region, as a way to support peace, stability and inclusive development.

11 III. Illustrative projects: Overview Projects by sectors Agriculture (7) Energy (3) Finance (2) ICT (1) Infrastructure (8) Mining (2) Tourism (2)

12 Illustrative projects - Agriculture Agriculture Energy Finance ICT Infrastructure Mining Tourism

13 Illustrative projects Energy, ICT, Finance Agriculture Energy Finance ICT Infrastructure Mining Tourism

14 Illustrative projects - Infrastructure Agriculture Energy Finance ICT Infrastructure Mining Tourism

15 Illustrative projects Mining & Tourism Agriculture Energy Finance ICT Infrastructure Mining Tourism

16 The Projects (By Country) - 1 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY Angola Burundi CAR Congo DRC Kenya Rwanda South Sudan Tanzani a Uganda Zambi a Agriculture 1 Transfrontier Markets X X X 2 SAGCOT X X X 3 South Sudan Nzara Agro Industrial Complex X X X 4 Ruzizi Growth Pole X X X 5 UNDP Regional Maize VC Project X X X 6 ABSA-SAB Miller DRG Grains Project X X X X X X 7 Rwanda Bonded Warehouse Facility X X Energy 8 Ruzizi III Hydropower project 145MW X X X 9 Rwanda/DRC Lake Kivu Methane Gas Development X X 10 Ruzizi I and II Transmission Line Rehabilitation X X X Finance 11 ICGLR Regional Microfinance Project/SOIGL X X 12 ICGLR/CEPGL Reestablishment of the Development Bank of the Great Lakes States X X X

17 The Projects (By Country)- 2 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY Angola Burundi CAR Congo DRC Kenya Rwanda South Sudan ICT Tanzania Uganda Zambia 13 WB Central Africa Backbone Project X X X X X X Infrastructure 14 Trademark East Africa Northern Corridor Roadside Station Project X X X X X 15 Angola/DRC/Zambia Lobito Corridor X X X 16 ICGLR Southern Corridor X X X X X X 17 CEPGL One Stop Border Posts X X X 18 South Sudan/Kenya Lamu Port/LAPSSET Corridor X X X 19 Kisumu Port and Other Lake Victoria Ports X X X 20 Brazzaville, Congo Kinshasa, DRC Road Rail Bridge 21 Central Multimodal Transport Corridor X X X X X Mining X X 22 Uganda Oil Refinery X 23 Chambers Federation South Kivu DRC Cooperative Mining Project Tourism X 24 IGAD Sustainable Tourism Roadmap X X X 25 Lake View Resort City in Kisumu, Kenya X

18 Status Operational Desktop evaluation- status 1 9 More Developed Financial Close Preferred Bidder 8 22 Procurement EOI 2 23 Bankable Feasibility Project Feasibility Pre-Feasibility Options Needs Concept Less Developed Agriculture Energy Finance ICT Infrastructure Mining Tourism

19 Example Project #1: Central Multi Modal Corridor

20 Example Project #1: Central Multi Modal Corridor 32 projects

21 Example Project #1: Central Multi Modal Corridor Project Dar Port Berth Developments (Tanzania); Issues Prior RFP halted due single-buoy mooring Redesign Feasibility due completion end 2015 Dar-Isaka-Keza-Musongati Railway Line (Multi); Isaka-Mwanza Railway Line (Tanzania); EOI issued June 2015, closed September interested parties TA appointed to shortlist Feasibility study & detailed design done. Possible 1.6MT from Dar es Salaam. Issues around which gauge rail to use. 13,68% IRR, $136m grant to meet target (out of $357m total capex) Dar-Chalinze Toll Road (Tanzania). Design done and route changed. Seems to require links to other elevated road out of city. Unclear progress. Ready for implementation and viable Strategy issue road competes with rail. FIRR is low at 11.2%, need $257m grant (of $445m).

22 Example Project #2: Northern Corridor roadside Stations

23 Example Project #2: Northern Corridor Roadside Stations Rwanda 27 Stations 2 Stations 7 Stations

24 Example Project #2: Northern Corridor Roadside Stations 7 Stations Burundi 2 Stations 22 Stations

25 Example Project #2: Northern Corridor Roadside Stations Country Total Qualify FIRR Range % Value Range $ Kenya % % $850k - $1.65m Uganda % % $722k - $1.72m Rwanda 7 0 Burundi 2 0 South Sudan 2 0 DR Congo % % $1.65m - $1.65m SUMMARY 24.4% average $30.0m total

26 The Projects: Overview (1) Comments 22 Uganda Oil Refinery Preferred bidder, negotiating 8 Ruzizi III Hydropower project 145MW 18 South Sudan/Kenya Lamu Port/LAPSSET Corridor 23 Chambers Federation South Kivu DRC Cooperative Mining Project 9 Rwanda/DRC Lake Kivu Methane Gas Development 14 Trademark East Africa Northern Corridor Roadside Station Project 10 Ruzizi I and II Transmission Line Rehabilitation 2 SAGCOT Project agreements signed preferred bidder, heading to financial close Feasibilities reported complete, Govt support for funding instruments, some construction Community gold mining, Phases 1-2 implemented, ongoing investment Feasibility done, existing projects, replicable/more available Well established/marketed, corridor + identified project Feasibility completed Single country, existing partners, multiple private opportunities

27 The Projects: Overview (2) Comments 21 Central Multimodal Transport Corridor Established team, identified private & other projects, 19 Kisumu Port and Other Lake Victoria Ports Kenya appointing Advisors, initiated aspects of project 25 Lake View Resort City in Kisumu, Kenya Studies developed 11 ICGLR Regional Microfinance Project Concept note and preliminary business plan 20 Brazzaville, Congo Kinshasa, DRC Road Rail Bridge Feasibility study being prepared, big project $1.65bn 15 Angola/DRC/Zambia Lobito Corridor Rail to DRC completed 4 Regional Great Lakes Integrated Agriculture Development Program Project launched Oct 2014, WBG funding project 5 UNDP Regional Maize VC Project Project design developed 13 WB Central Africa Backbone Project Submitted WBG approval

28 The Projects: Overview (3) Comments 3 South Sudan Nzara Agro Industrial Complex 24 IGAD Sustainable Tourism Roadmap 6 ABSA-SAB Miller DRG Grains Project 12 ICGLR/CEPGL Reestablishment of the Development Bank of the Great Lakes States Feasibility study Masterplan developed, specific projects to be developed Implementation first phases ICGLR developed concept note 1 Transfrontier Markets One project done with funding support 17 CEPGL One Stop Border Posts 2 Projects completed, 19 opportunities 16 ICGLR Southern Corridor ICGLR developed concept note 7 Rwanda Bonded Warehouse Facility RFQ issued

29 IV. The Conference WHAT? The 13 GLR countries part are convening the 1 st ever Regional Private Sector Investment Conference to support peace, stability and inclusive development in the region 25 investment opportunities (projects) in Agriculture, Energy, Finance, ICT, Infrastructure, Mining, Tourism Deeper analysis of the market readiness of the projects after extensive consultations (private & public sector stakeholders) Compilation of the Investment Opportunities Brief (IOB) Projects to strengthen the region s economic infrastructure, productive capacity, accessibility to markets as well as efficiency whilst creating jobs and distributing wealth Presentation of existing business success stories Meeting platform for potential investors & investment promoters GLR = Business conducive region overflowing with potential

30 IV. The Conference WHY? 5 REASONS TO ATTEND! 1 Identify new business opportunities 2 Gain strategic insights from fast-growing companies 3 Expand your network of top-level business contacts 4 5 Promote your company on regional & international levels Be a driving force in the private sector development and peace stability in the Great Lakes Region of Africa

31 IV. The Conference WHO? The region s top CEOs operating in the Great Lakes Region New private sector participants African & International Public leaders (Great Lakes countries & international ) Investment specialists, bankers & investors High profile experts in African and international affairs WHEN & WHERE February 2016 Kinshasa, DRC (More details tbc) HOW? Visit & register (from 1 Dec.) on For further info or to be on the mailing list psic@un.org Book your flight with Sky Team and get 15% (PSIC site) Agenda, next roadshows and IOB information and regional analysis

32 Thank you FOR ANY QUESTIONS PLEASE WRITE TO:

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