Energy opportunities in southern Africa. Wim Jonker-Klunne Programme Director Energy & Environment Partnership

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1 Energy opportunities in southern Africa Wim Jonker-Klunne Programme Director Energy & Environment Partnership

2 Introduction Global trends Regional trends Focus on South Africa Conclusions

3 Global trends

4 Global trends

5 Global trends

6 Global trends

7 Global trends

8 Global trends

9 Regional trends CAPACITY (MW) Feb 2015 country utility installed available operating peak demand Angola ENE Botswana BPC DRC SNEL Lesotho LEC Malawi ESCOM Mozambique EDM/HCB Namibia NamPower South Africa ESKOM Swaziland SEC Tanzania TANESCO Zambia ZESCO/CEC/LHPC Zimbabwe ZESA TOTAL

10 Regional trends utility country name type capacity MW ESKOM South Africa Medupi coal 738 ESKOM South Africa Ingula hydro 333 IPP South Africa cogen project gas 335 ESKOM South Africa cogen project gas 100 IPP South Africa REIPPP3 renewables 322 TANESCO Tanzania Kinyerezi 1 gas 150 SNEL DRC Inga 1 hydro 110 SNEL DRC Inga 2 hydro 320 ZESCO Zambia Ithezhe Tezhi hydro 120 ZESCO Zambia Lusiwasi hydro 15 IPP Zimbabwe Pungwe hydro 15 IPP Mozambique Ressano Garcia gas 175 IPP Mozambique Kuvanianga gas New generation projects commissioning in 2015

11 Regional trends 2015 (MW) 2016 (MW) 2017 (MW) 2018 (MW) 2019 (MW) TOTAL (MW) Angola Botswana DRC Lesotho 0 Malawi Mozambique Namibia South Africa Swaziland Tanzania Zambia Zimbabwe

12 Regional trends Operating Members Only - Reserve Margin, % Best practice reserve margin

13 Regional trends DRC 2015: 2 nd DRC Zambia 220 kv Tanzania 2018: ZIZABONA kv Angola Zambia Zimbabwe Malawi 2018: Mozambique Malawi kv 2018: Zambia Tanzania-Kenya 400 kv 2018: Morupule Maun 400 kv 2020: MOZISA 400 kv 2020: RSA Botswana kv Namibia Botswana Mozambique Swaziland 2020: Namibia Angola -400 kv 2020: Orapa Pandamatenga -400 kv 2022: Grand Inga Transmission HVDC/AC 2024: Mozambique STE HVDC/AC South Africa Lesotho

14 Regional trends DR Congo Tanzania Angola Malawi Zambia Zimbabwe Namibia Botswana Mozambique Swaziland 12/15 SADC countries have energy/electricity regulators 80% 10/12 are Members of RERA ORE of Madagascar & Energy Commission of Seychelles are not yet Members of RERA 4 are electricity regulators, 6 are energy regulators & 2 are multi-sector (energy/water) regulators Remaining 3 countries (Botswana, the DRC & Mauritius) are at various sector reform stages South Africa Lesotho

15 South Africa

16 South Africa REIPPP renewable energy procurement 4000 MW from 66 bidders 1500 MW of 32 projects operational Window 4 results eminent RfP 1600 MW baseload (December 2014) RfP 800 MW co-generation soon RfP gas generation by June 2015 Grand Inga agreement Nucĺear built?

17 South Africa

18 Opportunities Grid connected large scale renewables REIPPP Willing buyer willing seller (with or without wheeling) Small scale renewables Own consumption embedded generation Off grid Grid tied (rooftop PV) Mining Energy efficiency Grid technologies

19 Regional opportunities Moving away from depending on ESKOM Several countries with strong supporting regulations Off grid electrification

20 Thank you! More Information: Wim Jonker Klunne

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