The Changing Role of the NTO s

Transcription

1 The Changing Role of the NTO s St. Kitts, 11 October 212 CARLOS VOGELER Regional Director for the Americas World Tourism Organization UNWTO

2 Members of the Panel Hon. Alain St. Ange Minister of Tourism Republic of Seychelles Mr. Laurence Bresh Marketing Director Ms. Helen Schur Parris CEO

3 International Tourism Does not include: One day visitors Cruises Domestic Tourist arrivals 211: 99 millon Receipts 211: 1,3 billion $ International Tourism Arrivals (million) 3 International Tourism Receipts (US$ billion) *

4 Regional marketshare in Tourist Arrivals and Receipts 211 Americas ITA.: 157,1 million (15.9%) ITR.: $ 198,559 million (19.2%) Europe ITA.: 59.4 million (51.4%) ITR.: $ 463,661 million (44.8%) Asia and the Pacific ITA.: million (22.%) ITR.: $ 291,153 million (28.1%) Africa ITA.: 49.9 million (5%) ITR.: $ 32,516 million (3.1%) Middle East ITA.: 55.7 million (5.6%) ITR.: $ 47,16 million (4.5%)

5 The Americas by subregion North America Arrivals: 12 million (+3%) Receipts: 144,6 billion US $ Central America Arrivals: 8,3 million (+4,4%) Receipts: 7,1 billion US $ The Caribbean Arrivals: 2,9 million (+4,4%) Receipts: $ 23,9 billion US $ South America Arrivals: 25,8 millones (+9,4%) Recipts: 22,9 billion US $ Fuente: Organización Mundial de Turismo

6 Outlook for international arrivals in 212 Jan June 212: World: + 5% Caribbean: + 5,3% Outlook 212 World 2,1% -3,9% 6,4% 5% +3% a +4% Europe,5% -5,1% 2,8% 6,7% +2% a +4% Asia and the Pacific 1,1% -1,6% 12,9% 6,4% +4% a +6% Americas 2,8% -4,9% 6,3% 4,2% +2% a +4% Africa 3,1% 3,4% 8,5%,3% +4% a +6% Middle East 2,8% -4,2% 14,6% -7% +% a +5%

7 LONG TERM FORECAST FOR INTERNATIONAL TOURISM A broad research project of long-term forecasting, following up on work initiated by UNWTO in the 199s Objectives: Assist UNWTO Members in formulating policies and long-term strategic plans Provide a global reference on future tourism development Reinforce UNWTO s role in agenda setting for tourism-related subjects Constitute a reference for UNWTO strategic documents, programme of work and activities Central to the study are the projections for international tourism flows in the two decades 21-23

8 Growth in international tourism will continue, but at a more moderate pace International tourism, World International Tourist Arrivals, % change over previous year ,2% ,3% ,8% +2,9% /' /'84 199/' /'94 2/'99 25/'4 21/'9 215/'14 22/'19 225/'24 23/'29 source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)

9 International tourist arrivals to increase by 43 million a year on average International tourism, World International Tourist Arrivals, absolute change over previous year, million Average increase million a year mn a year mn a year source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)

10 International tourist arrivals to reach 1.8 billion by 23. Average annual growth: 3.3% International tourism, World International Tourist Arrivals, million 2, 1, bn 1,5 1.4 bn 1,25 1, bn

11 No major change in share by purpose of visit International tourism by purpose of visit International Tourist Arrivals, million 1, 9 Leisure, recreation and holidays VFR, health, religion, other Business and professional source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)

12 Emerging economy destinations to surpass advanced destinations in 215 Inbound tourism, advanced and emerging economies 1,25 International Tourist Arrivals, million 1, emerging economies 75 5 advanced economies source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)

13 International tourism by region of destination International Tourist Arrivals received (million) Average annual growth (%) actual data projections Actual data projections , of which 21-'3, of which World ,2 4,4 3,9 3,3 3,8 2,9 to Advanced economies ,2 3,7 2,7 2,2 2,6 1,8 To Emerging economies ,8 5,8 5,7 4,4 4,9 3,8 By UNWTO regions Africa 7,2 14,8 18,9 26,5 35,4 5, ,7 6,7 6,7 5, 5,4 4,6 Americas 62,3 92,8 19, 128,2 133,3 149, , 3,8 2,1 2,6 2,9 2,2 North America 48,3 71,7 8,7 91,5 89,9 98, ,4 3,5 1,3 1,7 2, 1,4 Caribbean 6,7 11,4 14, 17,1 18,8 2, ,7 5, 2,4 2, 2,4 1,7 Central America 1,5 1,9 2,6 4,3 6,3 7, ,7 3,8 7,7 5,2 6, 4,5 South America 5,8 7,7 11,7 15,3 18,3 23, ,8 4,8 4,8 4,6 5,3 3,9 Asia and the Pacific 22,8 55,8 82, 11,1 153,6 24, ,6 8,9 6,3 4,9 5,7 4,2 Europe 177,3 261,5 34,1 385,1 438,7 475, ,3 3,7 3, 2,3 2,7 1,8 Middle East 7,1 9,6 13,7 24,1 36,3 6, ,4 4,5 1,5 4,6 5,2 4, 198- '95 ' '2 22- '3

14 International Tourist Arrivals in the Caribbean 23 Average annual growth 21 23: + 2% Caribbean projection Average annual growth Average annual growth million tourist arrivals in ,4 % 3 million tourist arrivals in ,7 %

15 North-East Asia will be the most visited subregion in 23

16 Members of the Panel Hon. Alain St. Ange Minister of Tourism Republic of Seychelles Mr. Laurence Bresh Marketing Director Ms. Helen Schur Parris CEO

17 Thank you! The Changing Role of the NTO s St. Kitts, 11 October 212 CARLOS VOGELER Regional Director for the Americas World Tourism Organization UNWTO